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U.S.POLL WATCH

Kansas Senate race now a dead heat, with a blue flip possible

The poll showing Marshall and Hamilton tied is from the conservative Daily Caller, which itself described it as an evaporated Republican lead in a state last blue in 1932.

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What BBN said about it

  1. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorA new poll shows Republican Senator Roger Marshall in a dead heat with Democrat Adam Hamilton in Kansas, a state that hasn't voted blue since nineteen thirty-two.

  2. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorThe Daily Caller, a conservative outlet, calls it a lead that evaporated in a once-safe state, and this afternoon we heard from a lobbyist who says she represents both campaigns.

  3. Dr. Nina Byte · Tech & Science CorrespondentA tie in one poll is not a flip. It means the margin of error is doing most of the talking.

  4. Dr. Nina Byte · Tech & Science CorrespondentFor the record, nineteen thirty-two is also the year the Lindbergh baby kidnapping shocked the country, and Kansas has been red through all of it.

  5. Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorNinety-four years of red, and now a tie. That's how every great collapse starts, Nina.

  6. Dr. Nina Byte · Tech & Science CorrespondentIt's how every close poll starts.

  7. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorSo both sides will be insufferable tonight, and one of them will be right.

  8. Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorOr the lobbyist wins either way, and that's the only safe bet in Kansas.

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From the archive: everything BBN aired on Monday, October 12, 2026 · the U.S. archive · all months