U.S.POLL WATCH
Kansas Senate race now a dead heat, with a blue flip possible
The poll showing Marshall and Hamilton tied is from the conservative Daily Caller, which itself described it as an evaporated Republican lead in a state last blue in 1932.
At a glance
- First reported by The Daily Caller: “GOP Senator Roger Marshall Tied With Democrat Adam Hamilton In Deep-Red Kansas: POLL”.
- Covered on BBN on Monday, October 12, 2026, at 7:48 PM ET on BBN Tonight, by Hank Ledger, Dr. Nina Byte and Dale Bearman.
The real story
The reporting behind this segment. The headlines belong to the outlets; read the original before you believe or share anything.
What BBN said about it

Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorA new poll shows Republican Senator Roger Marshall in a dead heat with Democrat Adam Hamilton in Kansas, a state that hasn't voted blue since nineteen thirty-two.

Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorThe Daily Caller, a conservative outlet, calls it a lead that evaporated in a once-safe state, and this afternoon we heard from a lobbyist who says she represents both campaigns.

Dr. Nina Byte · Tech & Science CorrespondentA tie in one poll is not a flip. It means the margin of error is doing most of the talking.

Dr. Nina Byte · Tech & Science CorrespondentFor the record, nineteen thirty-two is also the year the Lindbergh baby kidnapping shocked the country, and Kansas has been red through all of it.

Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorNinety-four years of red, and now a tie. That's how every great collapse starts, Nina.

Dr. Nina Byte · Tech & Science CorrespondentIt's how every close poll starts.

Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorSo both sides will be insufferable tonight, and one of them will be right.

Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorOr the lobbyist wins either way, and that's the only safe bet in Kansas.
From the archive: everything BBN aired on Monday, October 12, 2026 · the U.S. archive · all months


