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Democrats lead in seven Senate battlegrounds, poll finds

The New York Times and Siena poll has Democrats ahead or tied in all seven battleground states, and Decision Desk HQ gives them a sixty-four percent shot at the Senate.

Photo: James Talarico
Photo: Antonioaesparza · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons · altered by BBN, shared under CC BY-SA 4.0

At a glance

The real story

The reporting behind this segment. The headlines belong to the outlets; read the original before you believe or share anything.

What BBN said about it

  1. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorDemocrats lead or are tied in all seven Senate battlegrounds in the New York Times and Siena poll, the day before Election Day.

  2. Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorIn Texas, Democrat James Talarico leads Ken Paxton fifty to forty-three.

  3. Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorTexas hasn't elected a Democratic senator since nineteen eighty-eight, and Kansas hasn't since nineteen thirty-two. That's a lot of history about to go sideways.

  4. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorDecision Desk HQ gives Democrats a sixty-four percent chance of taking the Senate, with fifty-two seats projected.

  5. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorThe Siena pollster says so many races sit within the margin of error that either party could still win a majority.

  6. Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorWithin the margin of error. Hank, the whole chamber could tip over on a rounding error. Doom, Hank.

  7. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorPlausible.

  8. Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorPlausible. I'm framing that.

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The story so far

  1. Senate polls tighten as Democrats show strength; King Charles caught… · The New York Times
  2. Times/Siena poll shows Democrats ahead in Senate races · The Hill
  3. Trump makes fevered campaign push in final weekend before election · BBC
  4. Write-In Ralph: South Carolina Republicans challenge Trump's Senate… · Al Jazeera
  5. Trump White House maps path to govern without Congress if Democrats… · Japan Today
  6. Paxton leans on Trump in tight Texas Senate race · The New York Times
  7. Democrats lead in seven Senate battlegrounds, poll finds (this story)

From the archive: everything BBN aired on Monday, November 2, 2026 · the U.S. archive · all months