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Democrats projected to gain 24 House seats in Sabato forecast

The forecast from political scientist Alan Abramowitz also projects Democratic gains of between three and nine Senate seats; a two-thirds confidence level leaves room for surprises.

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  1. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorA new forecast from the University of Virginia's Center for Politics has Democrats gaining twenty-four House seats next Tuesday, which would make it a two hundred thirty-nine to one ninety-six majority, Newsmax reports.

  2. Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorLook at the range, though. About two-thirds confident that it lands anywhere from fifteen to thirty-three seats.

  3. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorIs that bad? Sounds like a pretty good range to me.

  4. Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorTwo-thirds sure, Chip. That means one election in three ignores the model entirely, and it's still called a wave.

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The story so far

  1. Democrats ask judge to dismiss challenge to Alaska Senate race · NBC News
  2. Durbin warns Democrats of regret after 30 Senate years · Washington Examiner
  3. Senate Democrats drop $500K in Mississippi · The Hill
  4. King in Guyana, Alaska Senate probe, California subpoenas · BBC
  5. Omarzai's record century, Alaska Senate fight, Stewart and McKellen · NBC News
  6. Democrats projected to gain 24 House seats in Sabato forecast (this story)

From the archive: everything BBN aired on Friday, October 30, 2026 · the U.S. archive · all months