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Brazil runoff: Lula versus Bolsonaro's son, too close to call

Flávio Bolsonaro led the first round with 47.03 percent to Lula's 45.16, and polls in Sunday's runoff are separated by two points; the pollsters shrug.

Photo: Agência Senado · Attribution · Wikimedia Commons · altered by BBN
▶ As it aired · World

Watch it as it aired: Gloria Vance and Kenji Moonfield on this story, from BBN After Hours at 2:09 AM ET. Cartoon anchors, real headline: the facts are BBC's, the jokes are ours.

Photo: Flávio Bolsonaro
Photo: Agência Senado · Attribution · Wikimedia Commons · altered by BBN

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What BBN said about it

  1. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorIt's a runoff between President Lula, eighty, and Flávio Bolsonaro, forty-five, the eldest son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, who is barred from office through twenty thirty.

  2. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorPolls close at four Eastern.

  3. Kenji Moonfield · Internet & Trends CorrespondentSo who's winning?

  4. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorThe final Datafolha poll says Bolsonaro fifty-one, Lula forty-nine, with a two-point margin of error.

  5. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorPrediction markets say eighty percent for Bolsonaro, but those are bets, not polls.

  6. Kenji Moonfield · Internet & Trends CorrespondentFifty-one to forty-nine, with a two-point margin. So it's a tie that got a press release.

  7. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorForty-seven point oh three to forty-five point one six. That one had actual voters, not a sample.

  8. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorLula is calling it a referendum on democracy. Bolsonaro is calling it a referendum on Lula. Both are calling it a referendum.

  9. Kenji Moonfield · Internet & Trends CorrespondentAnd when do we know?

  10. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorOfficial results start at four Eastern. Until then the poll is a shrug, and I'd ask the voters.

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The story so far

  1. Amazon's future tied to Brazil vote; AI drives record cyber flaws · The New York Times
  2. Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro set for first runoff debate in Brazil · Newsmax
  3. Lula tells voters to Google it; second debate set for October 23 · BBC
  4. How Uber became Brazil's safety net, and Lula's weak spot · Financial Times
  5. Bolsonaro's 'corrupto' palm stunt becomes a meme before Brazil runoff · The Guardian
  6. Brazil runoff rivals each seek to disqualify the other · Al Jazeera
  7. Brazil runoff: Lula versus Bolsonaro's son, too close to call (this story)

From the archive: everything BBN aired on Sunday, October 25, 2026 · the World archive · all months