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South Korea's economy beats forecasts on chip boom

The Bank of Korea had forecast just zero point three percent quarterly growth in August; chip exports surged instead, and one economist warns the boom rests on one industry.

Photo: South Korea
Photo: Joon Kyu Park · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons · altered by BBN, shared under CC BY-SA 3.0

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  1. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorA quieter story now, and a good one for anyone just waking up: South Korea's economy grew faster than forecast this quarter.

  2. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorGood news. Give me the one-sentence version before my coffee kicks in.

  3. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorComputer chips are selling so fast that the whole economy of Asia's fourth-largest country grew three point four percent over last year.

  4. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorAnd what did the forecasters expect?

  5. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorThe Korea Times says real GDP rose one percent from the previous quarter. The Bank of Korea's August forecast was zero point three.

  6. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorSo they were off by more than the entire forecast.

  7. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorYes. A central bank would call that a variance. I would call it a forecast that was beaten in its own house.

  8. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorHow did we get here? Because it wasn't always this rosy.

  9. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorNo. The economy shrank zero point one percent in the last quarter of twenty twenty-five, then grew one point eight percent in the first quarter this year.

  10. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorA comeback story. And the chips are the comeback.

  11. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorMalay Mail reports semiconductor exports rose two hundred eighteen point seven percent from a year earlier, to one hundred forty-eight billion dollars in the quarter.

  12. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorTwo hundred eighteen percent?

  13. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorYes. And Kyunghyang Shinmun says real gross domestic income is up eighteen point eight percent, the highest since nineteen seventy-seven.

  14. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorSo who does this actually help? Regular people, or just the chip makers?

  15. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorThe reports describe a national figure, so how it is shared out is not clear yet.

  16. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorExports hit a record one hundred twenty point nine billion dollars in September.

  17. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorWell, I'd call that an export-led confidence moment, and I'll defend the phrase.

  18. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorMoody's Analytics economist John Bromhead warns that growth is heavily concentrated in semiconductors, leaving the country exposed to a slowdown in global AI spending.

  19. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorOh, that's the catch.

  20. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorThe argument for is simple: growth beat the forecast, and the chip exports are real.

  21. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorWhat do we watch next, then?

  22. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorWhether the pace holds. Year on year, growth eased from three point seven percent last quarter, so the next numbers will tell us a lot.

  23. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorSo, understood: South Korea beat the Bank of Korea's forecast, and one economist's worry is that the world stops wanting chips.

  24. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorA bold, diversified economy, Gloria, with chips on one side and, on the other side, more chips.

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The story so far

  1. What's brewing behind South Korea's Mega Coffee deal rush? · The Straits Times
  2. Celebrity shark guided out of South Korea canal won't leave · BBC
  3. South Korea wins first-ever Asian Para Games wheelchair rugby gold · 조선일보
  4. Kim crosses new bridge into Dandong, met by China's premier · Al Jazeera
  5. Trump comment on Nicki Minaj at Michigan rally; North Korea disputes… · AOL.com
  6. Yuri Yoshida wins in South Korea for her first LPGA Tour victory · Japan Today
  7. South Korea's economy beats forecasts on chip boom (this story)

From the archive: everything BBN aired on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 · the Your Money archive · all months