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Democrats hold 10-point lead over GOP in battle for Congress: Poll

Emerson's final national survey of 1,000 likely voters has Republicans at forty-two percent, where they started in July twenty twenty-five; the midterms are next week.

▶ As it aired · U.S.

Watch it as it aired: Hank Ledger on this story, from BBN This Morning at 9:37 AM ET. Cartoon anchors, real headline: the facts are The Hill's, the jokes are ours.

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What BBN said about it

  1. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorDemocrats lead Republicans by ten points on the generic congressional ballot, with the midterms next week. Skip Waverly is live with the numbers.

  2. Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentHank, I'm outside a campaign office with a laminated copy of the Emerson poll, and the folks behind me have been reading it for about an hour.

  3. Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentIt's fifty-two percent Democrat, forty-two percent Republican, from a thousand likely voters, with a margin of error of about three points.

  4. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorAnd September was eleven points. So it's a one-point tightening.

  5. Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentRight, and here's the detail I love. Republican support has been exactly forty-two percent since Emerson started tracking in July twenty twenty-five.

  6. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorFifteen months, same number.

  7. Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentI've got a voter here. Sir, does that number surprise you?

  8. Unnamed voterNo. I've been getting the same forty-two since the summer before last, and I started to think the poll was stuck.

  9. Unnamed voterI checked my calendar twice.

  10. Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentMeanwhile Democrats climbed from forty-four to fifty-two, and about five percent are undecided, mostly independents, half of whom disapprove of the president.

  11. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorSo five percent of the country is deciding this, and Skip is standing next to them.

  12. Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentDecision Desk HQ puts Democrats at eighty percent for the House and sixty for the Senate.

  13. Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentHank, I have never had odds like that on a live shot.

  14. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorYour odds of getting a second live shot today are also holding at forty-two. Good work.

  15. Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorRex, it's yours. I'll be here. I'm always here.

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The story so far

  1. John Oliver Warns Ahead of Midterms About GOP Nazi Ties · Variety
  2. Blakeman ad says Hochul will raise taxes for Mamdani · New York Post
  3. Murkowski endorses a Democrat for Alaska governor · NBC News
  4. Illinois man charged over white powder letters to Congress · New York Post
  5. Wisconsin Republican, 26, set to be youngest member of Congress · Washington Examiner
  6. Speaker Johnson rejects 'nonsense narrative' on seating Democrats · Fox News
  7. Democrats hold 10-point lead over GOP in battle for Congress: Poll (this story)

From the archive: everything BBN aired on Friday, October 30, 2026 · the U.S. archive · all months