U.S.LIVE REPORT
Democrats hold 10-point lead over GOP in battle for Congress: Poll
Emerson's final national survey of 1,000 likely voters has Republicans at forty-two percent, where they started in July twenty twenty-five; the midterms are next week.
Watch it as it aired: Hank Ledger on this story, from BBN This Morning at 9:37 AM ET. Cartoon anchors, real headline: the facts are The Hill's, the jokes are ours.
At a glance
- First reported by The Hill: “Democrats hold 10-point lead over GOP in battle for Congress: Poll”, with reporting from Insider NJ.
- Covered on BBN on Friday, October 30, 2026, at 9:37 AM ET on BBN This Morning, by Hank Ledger.
- Topics: Congress, GOP, Democrats.
- BBN covered this story before: Speaker Johnson rejects 'nonsense narrative' on seating Democrats (October 29).
The real story
The reporting behind this segment. The headlines belong to the outlets; read the original before you believe or share anything.
- The HillDemocrats hold 10-point lead over GOP in battle for Congress: Poll
- Insider NJEmerson Poll: Democrats Hold 10-Point Midterm Advantage - Insider NJ facts used on air
What BBN said about it

Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorDemocrats lead Republicans by ten points on the generic congressional ballot, with the midterms next week. Skip Waverly is live with the numbers.

Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentHank, I'm outside a campaign office with a laminated copy of the Emerson poll, and the folks behind me have been reading it for about an hour.

Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentIt's fifty-two percent Democrat, forty-two percent Republican, from a thousand likely voters, with a margin of error of about three points.

Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorAnd September was eleven points. So it's a one-point tightening.

Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentRight, and here's the detail I love. Republican support has been exactly forty-two percent since Emerson started tracking in July twenty twenty-five.

Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorFifteen months, same number.

Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentI've got a voter here. Sir, does that number surprise you?
Unnamed voterNo. I've been getting the same forty-two since the summer before last, and I started to think the poll was stuck.
Unnamed voterI checked my calendar twice.

Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentMeanwhile Democrats climbed from forty-four to fifty-two, and about five percent are undecided, mostly independents, half of whom disapprove of the president.

Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorSo five percent of the country is deciding this, and Skip is standing next to them.

Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentDecision Desk HQ puts Democrats at eighty percent for the House and sixty for the Senate.

Skip Waverly · Field CorrespondentHank, I have never had odds like that on a live shot.

Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorYour odds of getting a second live shot today are also holding at forty-two. Good work.

Hank Ledger · Lead AnchorRex, it's yours. I'll be here. I'm always here.
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- Democrats hold 10-point lead over GOP in battle for Congress: Poll (this story)
From the archive: everything BBN aired on Friday, October 30, 2026 · the U.S. archive · all months

Photo: Gage Skidmore · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons · altered by BBN, shared under CC BY-SA 3.0
Photo: Lisa Barlow · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons · altered by BBN, shared under CC BY-SA 4.0
Photo: Don McCulley · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons · altered by BBN
