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Texas Republicans sweating over low turnout in early voting

Democrats led Republicans by 115,000 votes in Texas early voting at one point, with Republicans pointing to two million reliable voters yet to cast ballots; a Senate race hangs in the balance.

Photo: Texas State Capitol
Photo: LoneStarMike · CC BY 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons · altered by BBN

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  1. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorNBC DFW reported more than four and a half million Texans voted in the first seven days of early voting.

  2. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorThat sounds like good news. Who's ahead?

  3. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorDemocrats, by one hundred fifteen thousand votes among people who'd already voted. At this point in the last midterm, Republicans led by four hundred thousand.

  4. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorA four-hundred-thousand lead that has become a flexible starting position. Very agile.

  5. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorHow big is the whole turnout?

  6. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorAs of October thirtieth, six million eight hundred ninety-seven thousand four hundred Texans had voted.

  7. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorKSAT puts the total at seven point four million, about thirty-nine percent turnout.

  8. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorSo who are these voters? Because I'd want to know before I printed any yard signs.

  9. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorAmong in-person early votes, thirty-six point nine percent came from people with no primary history. Thirty-one percent came from Republican primary voters.

  10. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorSo the biggest group is people nobody has a file on.

  11. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorAxios San Antonio says Dallas County turnout was twenty-three percent and Travis County twenty-five, ahead of Montgomery and Nueces counties at eighteen.

  12. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorAnd the Senate race is Republican Ken Paxton against Democrat James Talarico, right?

  13. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorRight. And Republicans have an argument. Ryan said two million reliable Republican primary voters haven't voted yet.

  14. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorTwo million. That's a lot of people to be counting on to wake up.

  15. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorRice professor Mark Jones said warning bells would ring in the Abbott campaign if Republican counties lag by midweek.

  16. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorDid the bells ring?

  17. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorNobody in our reporting says. In-person early voting ended Friday, so now it's Election Day and the two million.

  18. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorSo the one-sentence version: Democrats are ahead in early voting, and Republicans are counting on voters who haven't voted yet.

  19. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorEight out of ten for suspense, and a solid hold on the outcome.

  20. Vera Bullock · Co-AnchorThe campaign has two million reliable voters it hasn't met yet, and a text message to go with it.

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The story so far

  1. Trump's Minaj remark, Maher feud, inflation and Machado's return · Metro.co.uk
  2. Republicans face a midterm reckoning over prices at the pump · The Hill
  3. Republicans wanted Rubio on the stump. Trump coaxed him there. · Politico
  4. Republicans pour $183 million into transgender-themed midterm ads · ABC News
  5. Viral toddler soccer story raises questions; Pritzker and SPLC · The Guardian
  6. Clocks are still falling back despite Trump's daylight saving push · Axios
  7. Texas Republicans sweating over low turnout in early voting (this story)
  8. Who are the Republicans running without Trump's endorsement? · Washington Examiner

From the archive: everything BBN aired on Sunday, November 1, 2026 · the U.S. archive · all months