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Fox News Poll: Texas Senate race galloping toward a photo finish
Fox's poll has Paxton and Talarico tied at forty-nine percent each, with early voting in Texas starting Monday; a gallop, technically, if you stand still.
Watch it as it aired: Dale Bearman, Gloria Vance and Chip Darnell on this story, from The Pile-On at 7:00 PM ET. Cartoon anchors, real headline: the facts are Fox News's, the jokes are ours.
At a glance
- First reported by Fox News: “Fox News Poll: Texas Senate race galloping toward a photo finish”, with reporting from RealClearPolling, Fox 26 Houston, The Hill and Houston Chronicle.
- Covered on BBN on Wednesday, October 21, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET on The Pile-On, by Dale Bearman, Gloria Vance and Chip Darnell.
- Topics: Fox, Texas Senate.
- BBN covered this story before: Fox News hires Kate DePetro as social-media ambassador (October 20).
The real story
The reporting behind this segment. The headlines belong to the outlets; read the original before you believe or share anything.
- Fox NewsFox News Poll: Texas Senate race galloping toward a photo finish
- RealClearPolling2026 Texas Senate - Paxton vs. Talarico October 21, 2026 · facts used on air
- Fox 26 HoustonTalarico, Paxton in dead heat for Texas Senate race, poll finds October 21, 2026 · facts used on air
- The HillNew polls show James Talarico with lead over Ken Paxton in Texas Senate race facts used on air
- Houston ChronicleJames Talarico leading Ken Paxton in Senate race: UH poll October 21, 2026 · facts used on air
What BBN said about it

Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorTwo hundred wins and he still won't concede the plane.

Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorAnyway, Fox has the Texas Senate race galloping toward a photo finish, and its own poll has Paxton and Talarico tied at forty-nine percent each.

Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorA dead heat! That's the most exciting number there is, because it means every single voter matters, and I love that for Texas.

Gloria Vance · World News AnchorGalloping, Chip, requires movement. Two candidates at forty-nine apiece are standing very still.

Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorStanding still is a kind of gallop if you believe in it.

Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorLet me finish.

Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorThe same poll has Paxton's ratings underwater by seventeen points, and Talarico holding a slim enthusiasm edge, and they're still tied. So the water is warm and nobody's drowning.

Gloria Vance · World News AnchorThe University of Houston has Talarico ahead, forty-eight to forty-six. InsiderAdvantage has Paxton up by one. Quantus has them tied at forty-seven.

Gloria Vance · World News AnchorThat is three polls and three different races.

Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorSo everybody's winning!

Gloria Vance · World News AnchorNo. No Democrat has won statewide in Texas since nineteen ninety-four. I will say that Dale is right that this is unusual.

Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorRight? Wait, I'm right? I had a speech prepared for being wrong.

Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorAnd Hispanic voters swing back toward Democrats by thirty points in the Fox poll, so somebody is definitely moving, just not the horses.

Dale Bearman · Chief Skeptic & ContributorEarly voting starts Monday, so the horses have to move. I give it till Tuesday before somebody calls it a stampede.
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From the archive: everything BBN aired on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · the U.S. archive · all months

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