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Iran's floating oil stockpile has fallen to zero

Kpler projects Iran's crude revenue could dry up by mid-December as the U.S. blockade holds; twenty empty tankers are parked off Sri Lanka.

Photo: NASA · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons · altered by BBN
▶ As it aired · World

Watch it as it aired: Chip Darnell and Gloria Vance on this story, from BBN After Hours at 4:31 AM ET. Cartoon anchors, real headline: the facts are Fox News's, the jokes are ours.

Photo: Strait of Hormuz
Photo: NASA · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons · altered by BBN

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What BBN said about it

  1. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorIran's floating oil stockpile has fallen to zero, and it comes as the U. S. naval blockade tightens.

  2. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorZero is a big number to fall to. What was it before?

  3. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorKpler data says floating stockpiles in Asian waters were roughly ninety million barrels, and by mid-October they were gone.

  4. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorFloating where, exactly? I'm picturing a very large swimming pool.

  5. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorTankers. A shadow fleet of them, parked at sea, holding oil until a buyer takes it.

  6. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorNational Security Journal says twenty empty ones now sit off Sri Lanka.

  7. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorTwenty empty tankers.

  8. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorKpler's head of crude oil analysis, Homayoun Falakshahi, put it plainly: "There's no more oil to discharge to China anymore."

  9. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorOkay, so how did we get here? Last I checked, Iran was selling this stuff.

  10. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorIt was, and I assume largely out of that floating reserve.

  11. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorNow the blockade is tightening, and Kpler projects crude revenue could dry up by the middle of December as outstanding payments are settled.

  12. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorSo it's a countdown. Who feels it first?

  13. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorFox News says the biggest pain may fall on ordinary Iranians, while the Revolutionary Guard, the IRGC, may be shielded.

  14. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorThat's the part I don't get. Sanctions are meant to pressure the people deciding, right?

  15. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorThat's the argument for the blockade: pressure on the government.

  16. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorThe argument against is that pressure tends to travel downhill, and officials rarely stand at the bottom.

  17. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorDownhill. Right.

  18. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorA researcher at United Against Nuclear Iran, Charlie Brown, said, "They must certainly be feeling significant pressure right now."

  19. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorSupporters read that as the policy working.

  20. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorAnd critics read it as a bill that goes to the wrong address.

  21. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorBoth readings are on the table, and BBN takes neither side. What the data shows is empty tankers.

  22. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorSo what do we watch for next?

  23. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorWhether that mid-December projection holds, and whether the blockade eases or tightens further. It's not clear yet how Tehran responds.

  24. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorOne sentence for someone who just woke up?

  25. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorIran's floating oil is gone, the money is running down, and the pain may land on citizens before the people in charge.

  26. Chip Darnell · U.S. News AnchorTwenty tankers off Sri Lanka, completely empty, and they're the only ones in this story with nothing to lose.

  27. Gloria Vance · World News AnchorCorrect, Mr. Darnell. For once.

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